← All articles Strategy / Free Rules

Steal This Monday NASDAQ Strategy (Super-Simple Bollinger Bands Rules)

Most traders guard their strategies. This one is free to copy. Below are the complete rules of a Monday-only E-mini NASDAQ breakout strategy - built in BreakoutOS, confirmed on out-of-sample data, and scoring 72% on a full backtest audit. Screenshot the rules, code them yourself, or copy the strategy directly from the BreakoutOS Strategy Exchange.

Where This Strategy Came From

BreakoutOS recently launched a Strategy Exchange - a place inside the platform where users share and exchange their breakout strategies with each other. I have already contributed four strategies to the exchange, and I plan to add more roughly every week. The more smart traders exchange their breakout strategies, the better everyone's portfolio gets.

One of those four is the Monday Bollinger Bands strategy - the same model that came out on top when I tested 1,800 Bollinger Bands breakout strategies. This article gives you the complete rules.

I found this model while testing the newly implemented Bollinger Bands template in BreakoutOS. I combined it with a Monday-only day-of-week condition taken from market mapping - another technique inside the platform - and the result was a strategy simple enough to describe in one paragraph, yet robust enough to pass a full audit.

The Exact Rules: Lower Bollinger Band + ATR Trigger

This is a Bollinger-based foundational breakout strategy. The Bollinger Band serves as the point of initiation - the reference level a breakout must clear before you enter. On top of the band, you add a volatility buffer calculated from the Average True Range, and you enter with a stop order.

ComponentRule
MarketE-mini NASDAQ (NQ) futures, 60-minute bars
Point of initiationLower Bollinger Band - period 10, 1 standard deviation
Trigger levelLower band + 0.8 × ATR (period 5)
EntryStop order at the trigger level - if it is hit on the next bar, you are in
Day filterMonday only
Entry windowMidnight to 11:00 PM
ExitTime exit at 11:00 PM
DataBuilt on the last 15 years of history

That is the entire strategy. Compute the trigger level, place a stop order there, only take entries on Monday between midnight and 11:00 PM, and exit at 11:00 PM. No additional filters, no complex conditions.

Inside the BreakoutOS Strategy Exchange, this strategy also comes with pseudo code and ready-made code for other trading languages, so you can take it straight to your own platform.

Why Monday Only?

The Monday condition is not a curve-fitting accident - it came from market mapping done before the strategy was built. Day-of-week analysis on E-mini NASDAQ data consistently shows Monday (and Tuesday) producing the strongest breakout edge, while the back half of the week weakens or even flips.

I covered that mapping in detail when I tested 276 NASDAQ time strategy combinations across roughly 20 years of data. The order matters: you map the market first, find where the edge lives, and only then build the strategy inside that window. Doing it the other way around - building first, then keeping whichever day backtests best - is how overfit strategies are born.

The Numbers: 72% Audit Score and Near-100% Space Robustness

Simple rules mean nothing without validation, so here is how the strategy holds up:

  • Built on in-sample data, confirmed on out-of-sample data - the model was developed on one portion of the 15-year history and verified on data it had never seen.
  • Space robustness index close to 100% - nearly the entire parameter neighborhood around the chosen settings stays profitable. When small changes to the parameters barely change the results, that is a strong clue you are looking at a structural edge rather than a lucky combination.
  • 72% overall backtest audit score - a very strong result across the full audit battery.

The audit itself deserves its own article - and it has one. The full audit of this strategy, benchmarked against 1,000 structurally similar strategies, is broken down in The One Test That Tells You If a Strategy Will Actually Work in Live Trading.

The Honest Catch: It Doesn't Cross-Validate to Other Indexes

Here is the part most strategy sellers would quietly leave out: this model does not cross-validate well on other index futures. That genuinely surprised me - a strategy with space robustness this high usually transfers to related markets.

This one does not, at least not yet. So the honest framing is this: the strategy is viable and very tradable on NASDAQ, where it was built and validated, and it is worth further exploration rather than blind trust. Knowing exactly where a strategy's edge lives - and where it does not - is part of trading it responsibly.

How to Trade It From Here

This is a foundational model - a deliberately filter-free core. I love these, because a strong foundation without filters gives every trader the ability to improve it their own way. Add your favorite filter on top, and the same shared foundation becomes a strategy nobody else is trading. I think if you add some of your own filters, you can turn this into a fantastic strategy.

Three ways to take it from here:

  • Screenshot the rules table above and code the strategy in your own platform.
  • Copy it from the BreakoutOS Strategy Exchange - BreakoutOS users can copy-paste the strategy directly, complete with pseudo code and code for other languages, and spin off their own variations.
  • Wait for the deconstructions - I will be sharing more strategies in the exchange and deconstructing the existing ones, showing exactly how I create them.

See BreakoutOS in Action

Watch how strategies like this one are built, validated, and shared - from blank slate to audited model.

Watch Demo Videos  →

Frequently Asked Questions

Yes. Instead of using Bollinger Bands for mean reversion, you use a band as the point of initiation - the reference level a breakout must clear. In this strategy, the trigger is the lower Bollinger Band (period 10, 1 standard deviation) plus a volatility buffer of 0.8 x ATR(5), entered with a stop order. The band adapts to volatility automatically, which makes it a natural fit for breakout logic.
They can, if the day is chosen from market mapping data rather than curve fitting. Day-of-week analysis across roughly 20 years of E-mini NASDAQ data shows Monday and Tuesday have historically produced the strongest breakout edge. This strategy trades Monday only because the mapping supported it - not because Monday happened to backtest best.
In BreakoutOS, anything below 50% robustness is a do-not-trade signal. This strategy's space robustness index is close to 100%, meaning nearly the entire parameter neighborhood around the chosen settings stays profitable - a strong clue the edge is structural rather than a lucky parameter pick. Its overall backtest audit score is 72%.
Cross-market validation adds confidence, but some genuine edges are market-specific. This strategy does not cross-validate well on other index futures, which is a real limitation to be honest about - yet its in-sample build, out-of-sample confirmation, and near-100% space robustness on NASDAQ suggest the edge is real there. Treat market-specific strategies as viable but worth further exploration.
A foundational model is a simple, filter-free strategy core: a point of initiation, a volatility component, and time rules - nothing else. It has to be robust on its own before any filters are added. The advantage is that each trader can then add their own favorite filters on top, turning one shared foundation into many personalized strategies.
Tomas Nesnidal

About the Author

Tomas Nesnidal, known to the systematic trading community as Mr. Breakouts, is a breakout trading specialist, hedge fund co-founder, and creator of BreakoutOS. He has managed institutional portfolios using breakout strategies for over 15 years, trading from 65+ countries. He is the author of The Breakout Trading Revolution and co-founder of Breakout Trading Academy.